Map of Virgin Islands (British)

In brief

The government led by the premier, Natalio Wheatley, formed a coalition quickly following the April 2023 general election, but its slim majority leaves it vulnerable to defections. Mr Wheatley will focus on speeding up the implementation of governance reforms to prevent the UK home government from imposing direct rule. Tourism was decimated by the covid-19 crisis; an only tepid recovery in that sector will subdue economic performance in the 2024-25 forecast period, exacerbating weaknesses related to the long-term decline of the offshore business incorporation sector and an incomplete recovery from a devastating 2017 hurricane season.

Economic growth

Economic growth
(% unless otherwise indicated)
2023 2024 2025
US GDP 2.5 2.0 1.6
Developed economies GDP 1.6 1.5 1.6
World GDP 2.5 2.4 2.6
World trade -0.3 2.5 3.5
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit

Inflation indicators

Inflation indicators
(% unless otherwise indicated)
2026 2027 2028
US CPI 2.3 2.3 2.4
Developed economies CPI 2.0 2.0 2.0
Manufactures (measured in US$) 3.2 2.2 2.6
Oil (Brent; US$/b) 74.2 69.1 65.2
Non-oil commodities (measured in US$) 0.3 1.6 2.3
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit